ERC SCALAR

Survey data on household climate change adaptation and resilience

Meta analysis of published flood surveys to reveal the role of culture in reported data on individual climate change adaptation taking floods as an example...

Coping with increasing tides: Evolving agglomeration dynamics and technological change under exacerbating hazards

Cities are the engine of the world economy: they provide jobs, cultural and educational amenities, and serve as incubators of innovations. By 2050 up to 70% of the world's population is expected to live in cities, many of which, for a variety of historical reasons - such as access to natural amenities, resources, or strategic...

Integrating households climate change adaptation in a complex evolving economy: the role of different behavior assumptions – presenting at the Social Simulation Conference 2022

How do behavioral biases, heterogeneity, and social interactions affect the diffusion of adaptation actions against flooding among households? What are the distributional and indirect economic consequences of such bottom-up actions? These are some research questions I tackled during my presentation at the Social Simulation Conference 2022, Milan, where I had the opportunity to present some...

Research visit Grantham Institute – London School of Economics

In May of 2022, I crossed the English Channel for the first time to spend two weeks as a visiting researcher at the London School of Economics’ (LSE) Grantham Institute. Specifically, I went to visit two researchers working there: Dr. Sara Mehryar and Dr. Viktor Rozer. Sara’s research concerns flood risk governance and resilience decision-making...

One and done? Exploring linkages between households’ intended adaptations to climate-induced floods

Paper One and done? Exploring linkages between households’ intended adaptations to climate-induced floodsRisk Analysis, 2022Brayton Noll, Tatiana Filatova, Ariana Needhttps://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13897 Do households consider taking adaptation actions to floods one at a time or in groups? How do (any) adaptation actions that households have taken in the past, influence their present perceptions and intentions? In our...

Contextualizing cross-national patterns in household climate change adaptation

Our new paper in Nature Climate Change tries to understand to what degree do behavioral and social drivers of households’ adaptation to floods vary across countries ...

How cultures, country and type of measures influence adaptation behaviors

In this new work, building on the groundwork set forth in a recent meta analysis, we find marked differences in the factors driving household behavior, both based on the country of residence and the type of adaptation measures considered by the household...

Agent-based modelling of post-disaster recovery with remote sensing data

In this recent study, we develop an agent-based model using machine learning-derived information from remote sensing data to simulate and explore the post-disaster recovery processes in urban areas of Tacloban, the Philippines, devastated by Typhoon Haiyan in 2013.

A review of agent-based flood risk models

In this paper, we systematically reviewed the ABMs that explore mid to long-term reactions of socio-economic systems to flood hazards...

Call for collaboration

For those of you who study the drivers of individual adaptation to floods, with primary survey data... let’s get in touch and explore the synergies of uniting fragmented knowledge!
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ERC SCALAR

Scaling up behavior and autonomous adaptation for macro models of climate change damage assessment
Damage associated with climate change is a core benchmark in science and policy. Macro Integrated Assessment Models estimating damages are criticized for neglecting risk distribution, adaptation dynamics and the possible collapse of regional economies. Micro-level social science studies contain substantial knowledge on individual behavior, decisions under risk and autonomous climate adaptation, and go beyond monetary losses by focusing on resilience. This knowledge can ameliorate theoretical and empirical flaws in current macro assessments, if adequate scaling up methods were to exist.

SCALAR aims to bridge the gap between micro and macro research traditions by modeling the behavioral aspects of autonomous adaptation processes of heterogeneous agents, and integrating them into macro level climate policy models.